Number of wards I have data from, by week | |
---|---|
Since September 15th | |
date | wards |
September 15 | 152 |
September 22 | 147 |
September 29 | 150 |
October 13 | 160 |
October 20 | 161 |
October 27 | 156 |
November 03 | 140 |
November 10 | 156 |
November 17 | 162 |
November 24 | 189 |
December 01 | 177 |
December 08 | 163 |
December 15 | 143 |
The Second Batch of New Hymns!
On September 12th, the church released the second batch of new hymns. In a previous post, I covered in detail as much as I could about the first batch of hymns and how they rolled out between June 2 and September 8th. This page covers period between when the second batch came out and when the third batch will come out, whenever that will be and will update regularly as I collect more data. Currently I have data from 2,056 sacrament meetings since September 15th from 413 wards.
But first, here’s how much data I have for each week, just so you have an idea of what I’m working with. I have collected more data per week from the past few months than from any other time period in my dataset.
How many wards sang new hymns each week?
This plot shows what percentage of wards sing new hymns each week. For context, includes all the data since June 2nd when the first batch came out so we can see how the roll-out of the second batch compares to that of the first batch. I’ve color-coded it by batch: green is for the first batch, red/pink is for the second, and blue is for both combined. This division is only relevant beginning on September 15th when the second batch came out so prior to then, only the blue lines are used. In all cases, a lighter color indicates wards that sang exactly one new hymn while a darker color is for wards that since two or more in a single meeting.
With the first batch of hymns, the reception was very warm. Pretty consistently over the 15 weeks after the first batch of hymns was released, we saw about 30% of wards singing at least one of the new ones, with a small percentage singing two or more.
Since the introduction of the second batch, I thought it’d be helpful to split it up into various colors. The green ones represent the number of wards singing hymns from the first batch (#1001–1009), with the lighter color for just one and the darker color for two in a meeting. The red/pink dots represent the second batch of hymns.
In the first week after the release of the second batch, relatively few wards (around 7%) sang any of them. Meanwhile, the first batch continued as normal. This is about a quarter as many wards as what we saw with the first batch. However, the following Sunday, September 22nd, about 20% of wards sang from the second batch, which is about three times as much as the previous Sunday. This is represented by the pink and red lines going up in the plot. Since General Conference, we’re seeing more wards sing from the second batch than the first batch, which is in stark contrast to the lukewarm reception they initially got.
What is perhaps more interesting though is not which batch people sang from, but whether they sang any new hymns at all. Look at the blue lines. Those represent the number of wards singing new hymns total, across both batches. They have gone up over the past few weeks. To accompany that, the gray line, which represents the number of wards that sang none of the new hymns, goes down. On October 20th, almost half of the wards I have data from sang at least one of the new hymns! Since then, more wards than ever (around 7%) have sang two new hymns in one meeting. Since then, it appears that it’s stabilizing at around 40% of wards singing at least one new hymn.
Now that we’re in the holiday season, there’s a dip in the number of new hymns being sung. It started on November 24 when most wards sang hymns of gratitude because of Thanksgiving. (Keep in mind that most of my data comes from the United States. On December 1st, there were even fewer new hymns being sung as people transitioned to singing Christmas hymns. Most notably though, while hymns from the second batch are not sung very much, the first batch is staying steady. This is because many wards are now singing the new Christmas hymns, particularly,
What hymns are most popular?
The following table shows the hymns from the second batch in order of how popular they are. On the right, I have an approximation of how many wards have sung that hymn since its release.
Approximate percentage of wards new hymns have been sung in | |
---|---|
Since September 15 | |
Hymn | percent of wards |
Amazing Grace (1010) | 60.2% |
My Shepherd Will Supply My Need (1014) | 38.7% |
Behold the Wounds in Jesus' Hands (1016) | 27.3% |
God's Gracious Love (1013) | 22.8% |
This Is the Christ (1017) | 20.9% |
Come, Lord Jesus (1018) | 15.8% |
Holding Hands Around the World (1011) | 13.3% |
Oh, the Deep, Deep Love of Jesus (1015) | 13.3% |
Anytime, Anywhere (1012) | 7.0% |
So, perhaps unsurprisingly,
(For a complete version of this table that includes all hymns, see here.)
What hymns are most popular each week?
Now that we’re several weeks past the release, we can start to see a glimpse of how the adoption of these new hymns has ebbed and flowed and how each hymn has been introduced. The figure below shows what proportion of wards sang what hymns each week, given that they sang a new hymn that week. So, we’re only focused on wards that have used these hymns.
So,
The latest pattern is the huge spike starting on December 1st with
When during meetings are these hymns sung?
We can see when these hymns tend to be sung and get an overall look at the popularity of the second batch of hymns. Again, it’s based on so little data, so take these results with a grain of salt.
When were new hymns sung in sacrament meeting? | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Since September 15 | ||||
New Hymn | Opening | Sacrament | Intermediate | Closing |
Amazing Grace (1010) |
44%
|
1%
|
17%
|
37%
|
Holding Hands Around the World (1011) |
36%
|
5%
|
23%
|
36%
|
Anytime, Anywhere (1012) |
0%
|
0%
|
55%
|
45%
|
God's Gracious Love (1013) |
26%
|
0%
|
42%
|
32%
|
My Shepherd Will Supply My Need (1014) |
32%
|
2%
|
28%
|
38%
|
Oh, the Deep, Deep Love of Jesus (1015) |
14%
|
5%
|
43%
|
38%
|
Behold the Wounds in Jesus' Hands (1016) |
7%
|
89%
|
2%
|
2%
|
This Is the Christ (1017) |
24%
|
21%
|
15%
|
41%
|
Come, Lord Jesus (1018) |
58%
|
0%
|
15%
|
27%
|
Note: Each row adds up to 100%. |
Looks like
The other hymns show some patterns but because I’ve seen them far less often, I have to take these distributions with a grain of salt. Some hymns are most likely to be intermediate hymns,
Conclusion
At first, people didn’t seen as eager to incorporate this second batch of hymns into their sacrament meetings right away. It may be the case that wards had their hymns planned already and it took them few weeks still before incorporating this second batch. It may also be because church musicians need time to prepare. However, the same reasons applied to the first batch and far more people sang new hymns in June 2. So, my guess is that the novelty of singing new hymns has waned a little bit, and there’s less of a rush to burn through all of them as there might have been over the summer.
However, we’re now several weeks since the release of the second batch, and it’s clear that people are warming up to them. Late October was the peak popularity. Now that we’re in December, Christmas holidays will take precedent and we’ll see fewer new hymns (except of course the new Christmas ones). In January, once the next batch is scheduled to come out, I think we’ll see that third batch becoming more popular than either of the other two for a while.